Monday, June 19, 2006

What Does North Korea Want?

North Korea wants the entire Korean peninsula.

All the rhetoric, missile testing, missile launching, weapons proliferation, weapons sales, border infiltrations, threats, warnings, and propaganda are meant to support that goal.

Other than that, the only thing predictable about the North Koreans is that they are unpredictable.

What we must do is continue to be resolute... because what the North Koreans are really testing is our resolve.

Kim Jong-il does not doubt our capability to stop him. He doubts our resolve.

We need to remind this pissant that not only can we burn them to a crisp, but that we have the will to burn them to a crisp.

Anyway, I reckon I'll be up the rest of the night watching for this latest threat from North Korea.


Korea: The Unfinished War

Iraq, Iran & North Korea

North Korea: Ten Years Of DCI Testimony

Merry Mad Monks of the DMZ


UPDATE 6:15pm CDT:

Rice Warns North Korea Against Missile Test

WASHINGTON (AP) - Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice warned North Korea on Monday it will face consequences if it test-fires a missile thought to be powerful enough to reach the West Coast of the United States.

"It would be a very serious matter and, indeed, a provocative act should North Korea decide to launch that missile," Rice said amid indications that the North Koreans could launch an intercontinental ballistic missile at any moment.

The senior U.S. diplomat said the United States would talk to other nations about action should the North go ahead, and "I can assure everyone that it would be taken with utmost seriousness."

The United States, Japan, Australia, South Korea and other countries have urged North Korea to abandon any missile firing, but there was no sign of backing down. U.S. officials said Monday the missile was apparently fully assembled and fueled, giving the North a launch window of about a month.

Unlike other preparatory steps the United States has tracked, the fueling process is very difficult to reverse, and most likely means the test will go ahead, one senior administration official said.

The precise timing is unclear, the official said.

At U.N. headquarters in New York, U.S. Ambassador John Bolton said he was holding preliminary consultations with Security Council members on possible action if North Korea fires the missile, thought to be a three-stage Taepodong-2 with a non-nuclear payload.

"But we don't really know what the North Korean intentions are at this point, so I think we need to wait for the event," Bolton said.

What's it all mean? North Korea has an intercontinental ballistic missile assembled and fully fueled that can be launched anytime in the next 30 days. And that is not a good thing.


El Jefe Maximo said...

Mr. Kim is really getting the Japanese pissed off at him. Considering his need for the little bit of foreign exchange he gets from them, that is Not Smart. He also won't like it too much if Japan speeds up rearmament in a serious way.

I'm intrigued by the recent noises coming out of Bejing. They don't seem to like the test business either...and they've got his oil, and his economic windpipe firmly under control.

I think the issue for the NK's is not so much the missile, as it is cooperating with their fellow crazies in Tehran, and possibly Caracas. The Mullahs, the Dear Leader, plus Nutjob Chavez and the world's other wackos (Fidel for instance) seem to be all pushing together to keep Uncle Sam scrambling. You're right, they're testing our resolve: but more to the point, they're also trying to overload the system.

The TD-2 seems like a perfectly useless piece of junk: liquid fueled, by the time you get the force gassed-up, you're already glowing in the dark cause the other guy's got solid fuel.

Mr. Kim may get his test: but he will piss off the neighbors, get more trouble from us. If he wanted to play the resolve game, seems like he could have found a cheaper way to push our buttons. Wonder why he didn't ship his precious toy to Iran and get them to test it ?

MerryMadMonk said...

El Jefe -- Excellent points as usual. It does indeed seem to be a coordinated, concerted effort by the crazies. I agree that the dongs are relative "junk", but a nuke-armed dong does not have to be terribly accurate or fast. While we will see it from the time it launches and be able to track it and estimate an impact area, we may not be able to shoot it down while it's in its mid-course phase, i.e., before it goes terminal.

While China can and does exert a lot of influence over North Korea, Kim Jong-il is fairly manipulative himself. He knows China wants Taiwan as much as he wants the peninsula. He ties up a lot of our resources in Asia/Pacific.

While Japan's relationship with South Korea has improved considerably over the last 20 years or so, there's an old saying that nothing will re-unify the two Koreas faster than Japanese military action. The Japanese treated Koreans horribly during the occupation years and even today there is a good amount of hatred of the Japanese.